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Paris FC W vs Strasbourg W

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Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Charlety
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mateo C.
Assist: Greboval T.
27' Event
Garbino M.
Assist: Mendy M.
54'
Konan I.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Paris FC W and Strasbourg W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paris FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Strasbourg W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paris FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paris FC W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paris FC W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Strasbourg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC W Strasbourg W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Strasbourg W
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Paris FC W
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Strasbourg W
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Paris FC W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garbino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Strasbourg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC W 95 / 100
Strasbourg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC W Strasbourg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paris FC W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Paris FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Strasbourg W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC W VS Strasbourg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon W22193076:1160
2Paris FC W22153446:1648
3PSG W22152548:2647
4Nantes W22125542:3441
5Fleury 91 W2296727:2133
6Dijon W2296721:2833
7Strasbourg W22751026:3826
8Le Havre W22561125:4521
9Marseille W22541326:4419
10Montpellier W22431528:4515
11Lens W22431520:5015
12St Etienne W22341511:3813