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Parla vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sanchez Caballero R.
32' Event
Gutierrez E.
67' Event
Nchama R.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Parla
30%
Draws
62%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Alcorcon B have won more games recently than Parla.
  • Alcorcon B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcorcon B
0:4
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Parla
4:1
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Parla
3:3
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcorcon B
1:6
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcorcon B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Caballero R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Alcorcon B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Parla found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Alcorcon B conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Parla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Alcorcon B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)