Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parla vs CD Fortuna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 game between Parla and CD Fortuna finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Parla
15%
Draws
64%
CD Fortuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Fortuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parla come out ahead of CD Fortuna on wins alone.
  • CD Fortuna are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Parla Clean Sheet 15%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla CD Fortuna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1.03 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs CD Fortuna
7:0
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Parla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 23 / 100
CD Fortuna 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla CD Fortuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Fortuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: CD Fortuna conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: CD Fortuna has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Parla's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

CD Fortuna

(Away)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)