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Parla vs El Alamo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Washington A.

AI Match Summary

Parla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Parla
20%
Draws
64%
El Alamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Alamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parla lately — more wins on the board than El Alamo.
  • El Alamo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Parla Clean Sheet 15%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla El Alamo
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.89 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs El Alamo
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Parla
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Parla
1:1
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs El Alamo
2:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Parla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Washington A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

El Alamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 19 / 100
El Alamo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla El Alamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Alamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Alamo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Parla scored in 61% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Away concern: El Alamo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 8

El Alamo

(Away)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)