Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma U20 vs Cesena U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Mikolajewski D.
(Penalty)
44'
Casadei T.
46'
Sub
Gemello A. In: Diop D.
Out: Gemello A.

AI Match Summary

Parma U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Parma U20
20%
Draws
51%
Cesena U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cesena U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cesena U20 at 1.63 per game, Parma U20 at 1.34.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Parma U20 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Parma U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Parma U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Parma U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Cesena U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma U20 Cesena U20
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Primavera 1
Parma U20 vs Cesena U20
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Parma U20
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Primavera 1
Parma U20 vs Cesena U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cesena U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamagni D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma U20 36 / 100
Cesena U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma U20 Cesena U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parma U20 scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Cesena U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Parma U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parma U20 VS Cesena U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma U20

(Home)
22 Aug
Juventus U20
2 : 2
Parma U20
02 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 1
Parma U20
28 May
Fiorentina U20
2 : 1
Parma U20
25 May
Parma U20
2 : 1
Cesena U20
16 May
Monza U20
0 : 0
Parma U20
Page 1 of 7

Cesena U20

(Away)
25 May
Parma U20
2 : 1
Cesena U20
22 May
Cesena U20
2 : 1
Inter U20
15 May
Lazio U20
1 : 2
Cesena U20
09 May
Cesena U20
0 : 1
Juventus U20
02 May
Genoa U20
3 : 5
Cesena U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fiorentina U20 -
TBD -
AS Roma U20 1
Bologna U20 2
Parma U20 -
TBD -
Cesena U20 2
Inter U20 1
Semi-finals
Fiorentina U20 2
Bologna U20 0
Parma U20 2
Cesena U20 1
Final
Fiorentina U20 2
Parma U20 1