Sport Picks

Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma

2 - 3

AS Roma

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Malen D.

Assist: Dybala P.

47'

Strefezza G.

Assist: Nicolussi Caviglia H.

48'

Strefezza G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Parma and AS Roma finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Parma

Draws

90%

AS Roma

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Parma haven't matched AS Roma's recent run of results.
Win probability leans AS Roma's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors AS Roma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Parma Clean Sheet 10%

AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parma	AS Roma
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	16
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	0.88	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie A

Parma vs AS Roma

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

2:3

Oct 29, 2025 Serie A

AS Roma vs Parma

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Feb 16, 2025 Serie A

Parma vs AS Roma

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Dec 22, 2024 Serie A

AS Roma vs Parma

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

5:0

Mar 14, 2021 Serie A

Parma vs AS Roma

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Strefezza G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Keita M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Malen D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rensch D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 10 / 100

AS Roma 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parma AS Roma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Parma's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Parma has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS AS Roma

0.88 Goals Scored 2.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	27	6	5	89:35	87
2	Napoli	38	23	7	8	58:36	76
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	73
4	Como	38	20	11	7	65:29	71
5	AC Milan	38	20	10	8	53:35	70
6	Juventus	38	19	12	7	61:34	69
7	Atalanta	38	15	14	9	51:36	59
8	Bologna	38	16	8	14	49:46	56
9	Lazio	38	14	12	12	41:40	54
10	Udinese	38	14	8	16	45:48	50
11	Sassuolo	38	14	7	17	46:50	49
12	Torino	38	12	9	17	44:63	45
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	28:46	45
14	Cagliari	38	11	10	17	40:53	43
15	Fiorentina	38	9	15	14	41:50	42
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	41:51	41
17	Lecce	38	10	8	20	28:50	38
18	Cremonese	38	8	10	20	32:57	34
19	Verona	38	3	12	23	25:61	21
20	Pisa	38	2	12	24	26:71	18