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Parma vs Bellaria Igea

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Serie D - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 game between Parma and Bellaria Igea finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parma
20%
Draws
40%
Bellaria Igea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parma come out ahead of Bellaria Igea on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Parma Clean Sheet 20%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Bellaria Igea
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.19 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Parma vs Bellaria Igea
3:0
Dec 13, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Parma
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 32 / 100
Bellaria Igea 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Bellaria Igea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellaria Igea has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Parma scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Bellaria Igea has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1
Cagliari
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 7

Bellaria Igea

(Away)
08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0
Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0
Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma 38 28 10 0 82:17 94
2 Altovicentino 38 23 8 7 84:43 77
3 Forli FC 38 19 12 7 69:46 69
4 San Marino Calcio 38 17 14 7 55:41 65
5 Correggese 38 18 10 10 66:49 64
6 Imolese 38 18 9 11 63:41 63
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 18 7 13 68:51 61
8 Ribelle 38 18 7 13 63:54 61
9 Lentigione 38 17 8 13 53:51 59
10 Sammaurese 38 15 9 14 53:49 54
11 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 60:54 53
12 Legnago Salus 38 12 15 11 55:54 51
13 Ravenna 38 9 17 12 50:59 44
14 Romagna Centro 38 11 11 16 40:51 44
15 Virtus Castelfranco 38 10 12 16 50:59 42
16 Mezzolara 38 7 14 17 30:55 35
17 Villafranca 38 8 9 21 45:63 33
18 Bellaria Igea 38 6 11 21 38:76 29
19 Clodiense 38 7 6 25 35:81 27
20 Fortis Juventus 38 2 7 29 32:97 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)