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Parma vs Mantova

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Falletti C.
49' Event
Cutrone P.
87' Event
Lovik M.

AI Match Summary

Parma in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Parma
30%
Draws
47%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Parma.
  • Model gives Mantova a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Parma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Parma Clean Sheet 11%
Mantova Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Mantova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Parma vs Mantova
2:1
Mar 12, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Mantova vs Parma
1:1
Oct 22, 2016 Serie C - Group B
Parma vs Mantova
1:0
Mar 17, 2009 Serie B
Parma vs Mantova
1:0
Oct 25, 2008 Serie B
Mantova vs Parma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Cutrone P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lovik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Falletti C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 18 / 100
Mantova 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mantova has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Parma remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Mantova
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
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Mantova

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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