Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Parma

Wed, Sep 24, 2025

3 - 2

03:00 PM

Spezia

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Britschgi S.

36'

Fellipe Jack

44'

Aurelio G.

Assist: Vignali L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Parma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Parma

35%

Draws

35%

Spezia

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Parma come out ahead of Spezia on wins alone.
Spezia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Parma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Parma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Parma Clean Sheet 17%

Spezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parma	Spezia
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	7
Draws	9	8
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	0.76	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Italia

Parma vs Spezia

3:2

Apr 13, 2024 Serie B

Parma vs Spezia

2:0

Dec 2, 2023 Serie B

Spezia vs Parma

0:1

Feb 27, 2021 Serie A

Spezia vs Parma

2:2

Oct 25, 2020 Serie A

Parma vs Spezia

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Britschgi S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pellegrino M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Aurelio G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lapadula G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.29

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 28 / 100

Spezia 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parma Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Parma scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Parma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Spezia

0.88 Goals Scored 1.71

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57

50% Over 1.5 86%

25% Over 2.5 43%

13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)

09 Aug

Parma

0 : 2

Sampdoria

02 Aug

Parma

1 : 1

Iraklis FC

30 Jul

Parma

1 : 1

Arezzo

25 Jul

Sassuolo

0 : 1

Parma

25 Jul

Trento

2 : 1

Parma

Page 1 of 6

Spezia

(Away)

01 Aug

Empoli

1 : 1

Spezia

08 May

Pescara

1 : 1

Spezia

01 May

Spezia

2 : 2

Venezia

25 Apr

Catanzaro

4 : 2

Spezia

18 Apr

Spezia

6 : 1

Sudtirol

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Pescara 1

Rimini 0

Spezia -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan -

TBD -

Bari -

Lecce -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli -

TBD -

Reggiana -

Genoa -

TBD -

Padova 0

Vicenza 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Palermo -

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Avellino 0

Verona -

TBD -

Venezia -

TBD -

Mantova -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino -

TBD -

Modena -

Pisa -

TBD -

Cesena -

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza -

TBD -

Frosinone -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Entella 4

Ternana 0

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Catanzaro -

1/32-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 2

Pescara 0

Spezia 2

Sampdoria 1

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 2

Bari 0

Lecce 2

Juve Stabia 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 2

Reggiana 1

Genoa 3

Vicenza 0

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Carrarese 0

Cremonese 0

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Verona 2

Venezia 4

Mantova 0

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Modena 0

Pisa 1

Cesena 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza 0

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 2

Entella 1

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sudtirol 1

Sassuolo 1

Catanzaro 0

1/16-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 3

Spezia 2

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 3

Lecce 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 1

Genoa 3

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Verona 0

Venezia 1

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Pisa 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 4

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sassuolo 0

1/8-finals

Bologna 2

Parma 1

Lazio 1

AC Milan 0

Atalanta 4

Genoa 0

Juventus 2

Udinese 0

Inter 5

Venezia 1

AS Roma 2

Torino 3

Napoli 2

Cagliari 1

Fiorentina 1

Como 3

Quarter-finals

Bologna 1

Lazio 2

Atalanta 3

Juventus 0

Inter 2

Torino 1

Napoli 1

Como 2

Semi-finals

Lazio 4

Atalanta 3

Inter 3

Como 2

Final

Lazio 0

Inter 2

Parma vs Spezia

Italy

Parma

Spezia

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Parma Compare

Spezia Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

Spezia

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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