Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Britschgi S.
36'
36'
Fellipe Jack
44'
44'
Aurelio G.
Assist: Vignali L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Parma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spezia come out ahead of Parma on wins alone.
- Spezia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Spezia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Parma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Parma Clean Sheet 12%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parma | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Italia
Parma vs Spezia
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 Serie B
Parma vs Spezia
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Serie B
Spezia vs Parma
0:1
Feb 27, 2021 Serie A
Spezia vs Parma
2:2
Oct 25, 2020 Serie A
Parma vs Spezia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Parma Compare
Top Goalscorer Britschgi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pellegrino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Aurelio G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lapadula G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Parma 10 / 100
Spezia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Parma Spezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Parma found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Spezia let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Parma remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Parma VS Spezia
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Parma
(Home) 20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1 Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1 Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1 Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2 Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0 Parma
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1 Genoa
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1 Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2 Cremonese
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1 Cagliari
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 4
Spezia
(Away) 27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2 Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2 Spezia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1 Spezia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
