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Parma W vs Genoa W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma W Logo

Parma W

1 - 1
FT
Genoa W Logo

Genoa W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rabot I.
Assist: Distefano G.
39'
Hilaj A.
62' Event
Vigilucci V.
Assist: Massa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Parma W
15%
Draws
12%
Genoa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Parma W average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Genoa W's 1.13.
  • Parma W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Parma W Clean Sheet 68%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma W Genoa W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Genoa W
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Parma W
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Serie B Women
Parma W vs Genoa W
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B Women
Genoa W vs Parma W
0:1
May 1, 2024 Serie B Women
Parma W vs Genoa W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabot I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Genoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vigilucci V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma W 95 / 100
Genoa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma W Genoa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Genoa W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Parma W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Parma W VS Genoa W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma W

(Home)
05 Aug
Parma W
8 : 1
Wacker Innsbruck W
01 Aug
Parma W
2 : 0
Lumezzane W
17 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Juventus W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
Page 1 of 6

Genoa W

(Away)
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
02 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 0
Genoa W
25 Apr
Genoa W
1 : 2
Inter W
04 Apr
Napoli W
4 : 1
Genoa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)