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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Elhi T.
47' Event
Smirnov S.
60' Event
Jaakson S. A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Levadia U19 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
42%
Levadia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Levadia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Levadia U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 3.17 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19
2:3
Jun 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19
4:2
Mar 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaakson S. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Levadia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Elhi T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
Levadia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Levadia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Levadia U19 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Levadia U19
3 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U19

(Away)
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
31 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 5
Levadia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)