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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tabasalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pold J.
35' Event
Kutsar K.
39' Event
Kutsar K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Tabasalu finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
26%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 come out ahead of Tabasalu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Parnu JK Vaprus U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tabasalu
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 3.33 1.72
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tabasalu
6:0
Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:8
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutsar K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pold J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Tabasalu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 84 / 100
Tabasalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Tabasalu conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Tabasalu
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Tabasalu

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)