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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Olympic Tallinn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2024/2025 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Parnu JK Vaprus Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus

11 - 0
FT
Olympic Tallinn Logo

Olympic Tallinn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 11-0, with Parnu JK Vaprus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Parnu JK Vaprus
15%
Draws
28%
Olympic Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Parnu JK Vaprus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parnu JK Vaprus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Olympic Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Olympic Tallinn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 4.48
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Estonian Cup
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Olympic Tallinn
11:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 83 / 100
Olympic Tallinn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Olympic Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olympic Tallinn conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 11.00 goals as a typical output.

Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Olympic Tallinn has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Olympic Tallinn
2.38 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Home)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6

Olympic Tallinn

(Away)
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7
Saku Sporting
26 Jul
TransferWise
3 : 6
Olympic Tallinn
18 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 6
Tulevik
07 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
11 : 0
Olympic Tallinn
11 Sept
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 8
Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kubik -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
FC Hell Hunt -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Tabasalu 6
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Tallinna GameSport -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Tartu -
Kristiine -
TBD -
Legion 3
Raplamaa 1
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Tamper 4
JK Poseidon 1
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
Viimsi JK 0
Kuressaare 1
Kose 1
Tartu Kalev 6
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Loo JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik 2
Zealot Sporting 1
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kuusalu Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Saae Latte -
TBD -
TBD -
Hiiumaa -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Silmet -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Kose II 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 4
Soccernet 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Starmedia -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tallinna Smsraha -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
1/32-finals
Kubik 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu 3
Saku Sporting 1
FC Tallinn 2
Tallinna GameSport 0
Tammeka Tartu 24
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
EstHam United 0
Inter Tartu 4
Kristiine 0
Legion 5
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kohvile 1
Maksatransport 3
Parnu 1
Tamper 3
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Kalju 11
Eston Villa 1
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens 0
Kuressaare 12
Tartu Kalev 7
Pelgu City 0
Loo JK 2
Helm 4
Tallinna Wolves 0
Elva 8
Levadia -
TBD -
Tulevik 3
Jarva-Jaani 0
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Tartu Helios 4
Saae Latte 2
Hiiumaa 6
Flora U19 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna FC Zapoos 4
Sillamae Silmet 3
TransferWise 0
Harju JK Laagri 15
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 0
Narva 7
Arukula Vigri 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tallinna Starmedia 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 11
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tallinna Smsraha 1
FC Ararat 3
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Rumori Calcio 1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 14
Inter Tartu 0
Legion 4
Johvi Phoenix 3
Maksatransport 0
Tamper 3
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Kalju 7
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 7
Tartu Kalev 0
Helm 1
Elva 5
Levadia 8
Tulevik 1
Tartu Helios 1
Hiiumaa 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 5
Harju JK Laagri 3
Nomme Utd 0
Narva 6
Tallinna Starmedia 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 10
FC Ararat 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu 1
FC Tallinn 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Legion 0
Tamper 0
Kalju 9
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 1
Elva 1
Levadia 3
Hiiumaa 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Harju JK Laagri 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 5
Kalju 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Levadia 7
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev 0
Kalju 5
Levadia 1
Narva 0
Final
Kalju 4
Levadia 3