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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tammeka Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Parnu Rannastaadion
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Aloe K.
9'
Lang T.
19' Event
Limberg M.
Assist: Kapper S.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Parnu JK Vaprus and Tammeka Tartu finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Parnu JK Vaprus
28%
Draws
22%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tammeka Tartu come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus on wins alone.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 15%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tammeka Tartu
5:1
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tammeka Tartu
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
1:4
Aug 15, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tammeka Tartu
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Limberg M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Orm R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 48 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Tammeka Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Parnu JK Vaprus's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tammeka Tartu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Parnu JK Vaprus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Tammeka Tartu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713