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Parnu Sadam vs Otepaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Tue, Aug 13, 2019
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Otepaa in this Estonian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Parnu Sadam
15%
Draws
42%
Otepaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu Sadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Otepaa have won more games recently than Parnu Sadam.
  • Win probability leans Parnu Sadam's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Otepaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Otepaa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Parnu Sadam Clean Sheet 13%
Otepaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Sadam Otepaa
Matches Played 6 23
Wins 3 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2019 Estonian Cup
Parnu Sadam vs Otepaa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu Sadam 75 / 100
Otepaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Sadam Otepaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu Sadam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu Sadam found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (5 games).

Otepaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Otepaa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu Sadam VS Otepaa
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2.17 Goals Conceded 2.5
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu Sadam

(Home)
28 Jul
FCI Tallinn
8 : 1
Parnu Sadam
21 Oct
Parnu Sadam
:
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
12 Aug
Rumori Calcio
2 : 3
Parnu Sadam
01 Aug
Parnu Sadam
8 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2
Otepaa
Page 1 of 2

Otepaa

(Away)
09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0
Otepaa
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2
Otepaa
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4
Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3
Otepaa
25 Jul
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 2
Otepaa
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Elva 3
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarvastu -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Lelle 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
ReUnited -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Flora U19 10
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Molycorp Silmet -
Tallinna Kalev III 4
Tammeka Tartu IV 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
JK 32. keskkool -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Tulevik -
Kadrina SK Moe -
Viimsi JK 2 1
Igiliikur 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Soccernet 1
Mulgi 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
Legion II 3
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Olympic Tallinn 1
TBD -
Kristiine -
Teleios -
TBD -
Viking 0
Pohja-Tallinna 18
Maardu Linnameeskond 12
Valga Warrior 0
TBD -
Elbato -
Kohtla-Nomme -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Zenit Tallinn 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
TBD -
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond II 13
Mauruse Saurused 2
TBD -
Kose -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
Maksatransport 1
Kadakas 3
Legion -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Narva -
Eston Villa II -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Parnu Sadam 5
Kohila 0
Jogeva 2
Otepaa 4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool -
TBD -
Metsis 0
Eston Villa 15
Marjamaa Kompanii 6
FC Sssolutions 2
TBD -
Anija -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Rakvere 0
TBD -
Voru Helios -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Helios 5
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu-Jaagupi 2
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Jogeva Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2 -
1/32-finals
Elva 7
Viimsi Lovid 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Tarvastu 7
Tabasalu 1
Lelle 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
Flora Tallinn U21 5
ReUnited 5
JK Poseidon 1
Flora U19 2
Molycorp Silmet 5
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 6
Tulevik 7
Igiliikur 1
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tallinna Wolves 5
Legion II 9
Aksi Wolves 0
Nomme Utd 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Kristiine 0
Teleios 2
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Elbato 0
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Flora 12
Helm 3
Rumori Calcio 2
Zenit Tallinn 0
Levadia 7
Paide Linnameeskond II 5
Kose 0
Keila JK 0
Kalju 2
Kuressaare 12
Kadakas 1
Legion 0
Narva 7
Eston Villa II 1
Loo JK 0
Parnu Sadam 1
Otepaa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Eston Villa 2
Marjamaa Kompanii 1
Anija 2
Tartu JK Welco 10
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 1
FC Hell Hunt 0
Helios 1
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK 2
Raplamaa 0
Jogeva Wolves 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 6
1/16-finals
Elva 4
Tarvastu 1
Tabasalu 2
Flora Tallinn U21 1
ReUnited 5
Molycorp Silmet 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 11
Tallinna Wolves 0
Legion II 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 7
Helm 1
Levadia 21
Paide Linnameeskond II 0
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 1
Narva 3
Eston Villa II 3
Otepaa 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Anija 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Voru Helios 2
Tallinna Kalev 3
Pohja-Sakala 0
Viimsi JK 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 2
1/8-finals
Elva 2
Tabasalu 0
ReUnited 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Kalju 2
Narva 21
Eston Villa II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 7
Pohja-Tallinna 2 0
Quarter-finals
Elva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Flora 3
Kalju 1
Narva 2
Voru Helios 0
Tallinna Kalev 6
Semi-finals
Elva 2
Flora 4
Narva 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Final
Flora 2
Narva 1