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Parnu vs Arukula Vigri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parnu in this Estonian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 9-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Parnu
15%
Draws
85%
Arukula Vigri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arukula Vigri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnu lately — more wins on the board than Arukula Vigri.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Parnu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parnu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Arukula Vigri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Arukula Vigri
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 7 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 2.55 5.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2022 Estonian Cup
Parnu vs Arukula Vigri
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu 29 / 100
Arukula Vigri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Arukula Vigri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arukula Vigri conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Parnu scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Arukula Vigri has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu VS Arukula Vigri
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu

(Home)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
Page 1 of 7

Arukula Vigri

(Away)
22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1
Raasiku Joker
30 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 4
Kristiine
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0
Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1
Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3
Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2