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Parnu vs Keila JK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2019
Parnu Logo

Parnu

4 - 2
FT
Keila JK Logo

Keila JK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2019 game between Parnu and Keila JK finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Parnu
15%
Draws
85%
Keila JK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keila JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Keila JK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Keila JK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Parnu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Keila JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Keila JK
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.74 2.69
Goals Conceded 2.44 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Parnu
1:0
Sep 1, 2019 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Keila JK
4:2
Jun 26, 2019 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Keila JK
6:0
Apr 14, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Parnu
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu 10 / 100
Keila JK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Keila JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keila JK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keila JK let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Parnu's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Away concern: Keila JK has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu VS Keila JK
1.38 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu

(Home)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
Page 1 of 7

Keila JK

(Away)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
19 Aug
Keila JK
3 : 2
Flora U19
22 Jul
TalTech JK
0 : 6
Keila JK
19 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
9 : 0
Keila JK
06 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 4
Keila JK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 27 4 5 118:38 85
2 Vandra Vaprus 36 21 5 10 97:71 68
3 Parnu 36 19 5 12 82:53 62
4 Kalju U21 36 19 4 13 79:50 61
5 Viimsi JK 36 16 4 16 75:68 52
6 Keila JK 36 14 4 18 67:87 46
7 Tabasalu 36 13 4 19 77:79 43
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 6 19 61:87 39
9 Voru Helios 36 10 4 22 48:101 34
10 Pohja-Tallinna 36 9 2 25 53:123 29
Promotion - Esiliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)