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Paro United vs Ugyen Academy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2016 game between Paro United and Ugyen Academy finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Paro United
15%
Draws
21%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ugyen Academy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paro United a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ugyen Academy have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Paro United Clean Sheet 18%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro United Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 41 52
Wins 13 26
Draws 4 4
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 2.12 2.56
Goals Conceded 4.24 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2020 Premier League
Paro United vs Ugyen Academy
0:2
Oct 4, 2020 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro United
3:2
Oct 29, 2019 Premier League
Paro United vs Ugyen Academy
1:9
Aug 14, 2019 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro United
10:0
Oct 14, 2018 Premier League
Paro United vs Ugyen Academy
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro United 85 / 100
Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro United Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro United found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Ugyen Academy let in goals in 73% of their last 52 matches.

Paro United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ugyen Academy
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro United

(Home)
17 Nov
Transport United
3 : 2
Paro United
13 Nov
Paro United
3 : 2
High Quality United
11 Nov
Tensung
0 : 1
Paro United
07 Nov
Paro United
3 : 1
Druk Star
02 Nov
Paro United
1 : 2
Paro
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Ugyen Academy

(Away)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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