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Paro vs Tensung

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ullah M.
25' Event
Sagna R.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Baldeh A.

AI Match Summary

Paro in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Paro
15%
Draws
14%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paro lately — more wins on the board than Tensung.
  • Paro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paro Clean Sheet 68%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Tensung
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 27 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 3.59 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
1:3
Jul 8, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
3:0
Aug 19, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ullah M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldeh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.84
Avg xA / game 1.84

Tensung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 95 / 100
Tensung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Tensung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paro scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Tensung conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paro VS Tensung
4.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro

(Home)
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
03 Aug
Drukpa
1 : 3
Paro
28 Jul
Paro
2 : 0
Thimphu FC
Page 1 of 7

Tensung

(Away)
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
02 Aug
Transport United
4 : 1
Tensung
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
23 Jul
Tensung
1 : 3
Paro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 14 12 1 1 52:10 37
2 Thimphu City 13 8 4 1 35:10 28
3 Transport United 13 8 1 4 19:15 25
4 Thimphu FC 13 6 1 6 15:19 19
5 RTC 13 5 3 5 13:14 18
6 Drukpa 13 4 5 4 26:20 17
7 BFF Academy U19 13 4 4 5 24:29 16
8 Tsirang 15 4 4 7 25:34 16
9 Tensung 14 2 2 10 10:38 8
10 Ugyen Academy 13 1 1 11 9:39 4
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)