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Partick vs St. Mirren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Firhill Stadium, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Phillips K.
Assist: Mandron M.
42'
Devaney J.
46'
Sub
Chalmers L. In: Letsosa T.
Out: Chalmers L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Partick
30%
Draws
23%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Partick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Mirren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Partick a 47% chance of winning this.
  • St. Mirren arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors St. Mirren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Partick Clean Sheet 68%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partick St. Mirren
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Championship
St. Mirren vs Partick
1:0
May 21, 2026 Championship
Partick vs St. Mirren
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Scottish Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
2:1
Jul 25, 2021 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
2:0
Oct 7, 2020 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partick Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzpatrick A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partick 95 / 100
St. Mirren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partick St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partick found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Mirren has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Partick remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Partick VS St. Mirren
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Partick

(Home)
03 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Arbroath
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
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St. Mirren

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
St. Mirren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TBD -
Arbroath 0
Dunfermline 1
Semi-finals
St. Mirren -
TBD -
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Final
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1