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Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Botev Lukovit

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2017/2018 game between Partizan Cerven Brjag and Botev Lukovit finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Partizan Cerven Brjag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
30%
Draws
18%
Botev Lukovit
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Partizan Cerven Brjag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Partizan Cerven Brjag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Partizan Cerven Brjag are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Lukovit Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizan Cerven Brjag Botev Lukovit
Matches Played 41 34
Wins 16 12
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
1:2
Nov 4, 2018 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Botev Lukovit
1:1
May 20, 2018 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
3:2
Nov 5, 2017 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Botev Lukovit
2:0
Apr 3, 2016 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizan Cerven Brjag 85 / 100
Botev Lukovit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizan Cerven Brjag Botev Lukovit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partizan Cerven Brjag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizan Cerven Brjag went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Partizan Cerven Brjag scored in 66% of their last 41 games.

Botev Lukovit has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Partizan Cerven Brjag VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizan Cerven Brjag

(Home)
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
29 Aug
Juventus Malchika
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
22 Aug
Partizan Cerven Brjag
0 : 0
Akademik Svishtov
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Botev Lukovit

(Away)
02 Jun
Parva Atomna
5 : 0
Botev Lukovit
24 May
Botev Lukovit
1 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
3 : 0
Botev Lukovit
12 May
Botev Lukovit
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
05 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
4 : 2
Botev Lukovit
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kariana Erden 30 25 5 0 100:19 80
2 Sevlievo 30 20 4 6 60:27 64
3 Vihar Slavyanovo 30 17 7 6 68:32 58
4 Bdin Vidin 30 16 5 9 57:33 53
5 Parva Atomna 30 15 7 8 45:29 52
6 OFK Levski 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 Yantra Gabrovo 30 13 4 13 60:39 43
8 Spartak Pleven 30 10 9 11 39:46 39
9 Akademik Svishtov 30 9 10 11 45:46 37
10 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 11 4 15 34:50 37
11 Tryavna 30 10 6 14 33:47 36
12 Pavlikeni 30 10 2 18 34:62 32
13 Botev Lukovit 30 9 3 18 37:64 30
14 Yantra Polski Trambesh 30 7 5 18 37:61 26
15 Yantra 2019 30 7 2 21 26:71 23
16 Mizia Knezha 30 6 4 20 24:75 22
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)