Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2020/2021 Selman Stërmasi Stadium

Erzeni Shijak

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Partizani II play Erzeni Shijak in the First Division 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Partizani II averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Erzeni Shijak averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Partizani II won 1, Erzeni Shijak won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Partizani II and 0.99 for Erzeni Shijak. This points to a Partizani II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Partizani II

15%

Draws

35%

Erzeni Shijak

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Partizani II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Partizani II picked up more points recently compared to Erzeni Shijak.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Partizani II Clean Sheet 23%

Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Partizani II	Erzeni Shijak
Matches Played	26	34
Wins	8	7
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	23
Goals Scored	1.31	0.74
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Partizani II vs Erzeni Shijak

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Apr 17, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Erzeni Shijak vs Partizani II

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Mar 7, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Partizani II vs Erzeni Shijak

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Dec 5, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

Erzeni Shijak vs Partizani II

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizani II 50 / 100

Erzeni Shijak 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Partizani II Erzeni Shijak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Partizani II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Partizani II attacking → ← attacking Erzeni Shijak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizani II scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Erzeni Shijak let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Partizani II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Erzeni Shijak lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
5	Beselidhja Lezha	24	10	6	8	32:26	36
6	Erzeni Shijak	24	9	7	8	29:22	34
7	KF Oriku	24	9	4	11	18:21	31
8	Partizani II	24	6	6	12	26:38	24
9	Koplik	24	2	5	17	17:46	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
5	Lushnja	20	7	7	6	21:25	28
6	Turbina Cerrik	20	6	7	7	23:24	25
7	Flamurtari	20	5	2	13	14:30	17
8	KF Elbasani	20	3	2	15	13:40	11