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Parva Atomna vs Tryavna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2020/2021 game between Parva Atomna and Tryavna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parva Atomna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Parva Atomna
15%
Draws
0%
Tryavna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parva Atomna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tryavna haven't matched Parva Atomna's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Parva Atomna taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Parva Atomna Clean Sheet 20%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parva Atomna Tryavna
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 26
Goals Scored 1.07 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Third League - North-West
Parva Atomna vs Tryavna
2:0
Nov 8, 2020 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Parva Atomna
1:2
May 10, 2020 Third League - North-West
Parva Atomna vs Tryavna
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Parva Atomna
1:1
Apr 14, 2019 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Parva Atomna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parva Atomna 85 / 100
Tryavna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parva Atomna Tryavna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parva Atomna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tryavna conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Tryavna has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Parva Atomna found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (15 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Parva Atomna VS Tryavna
0.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 6.5
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Parva Atomna

(Home)
30 May
Etar II
3 : 0
Parva Atomna
23 May
Parva Atomna
1 : 2
Sevlievo
19 May
Spartak Pleven
8 : 1
Parva Atomna
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Parva Atomna
Page 1 of 3

Tryavna

(Away)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Lom 34 28 6 0 86:11 90
2 Vihar Slavyanovo 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
3 Yantra Polski Trambesh 34 20 6 8 67:38 66
4 Sevlievo 34 18 7 9 55:30 61
5 Spartak Pleven 34 19 3 12 76:34 60
6 Botev Vratsa II 34 18 6 10 67:44 60
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 34 15 8 11 47:42 53
8 Pavlikeni 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 Lokomotiv Dryanovo 34 15 4 15 59:58 49
10 Drenovets 34 13 10 11 55:55 49
11 Lokomotiv Mezdra 34 14 4 16 46:48 46
12 Akademik Svishtov 34 10 5 19 41:60 35
13 OFK Levski 34 8 10 16 36:45 34
14 Parva Atomna 34 9 6 19 38:63 33
15 Bdin Vidin 34 8 9 17 35:84 33
16 Etar II 34 9 5 20 45:62 32
17 Peshtera Galata 34 9 5 20 48:82 32
18 Tryavna 34 2 2 30 21:110 8
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)