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Pas de la Casa vs Esperanca

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Sun, Apr 26, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pas de la Casa host Esperanca in the Primera Divisió 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Pas de la Casa have averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Esperanca's 1.04 scored and 1.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Pas de la Casa have won 2 to Esperanca's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 1.24, favoring Pas de la Casa. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pas de la Casa
20%
Draws
57%
Esperanca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esperanca lately — more wins on the board than Pas de la Casa.
  • Model gives Esperanca a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Pas de la Casa Clean Sheet 19%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pas de la Casa Esperanca
Matches Played 5 27
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.04
Goals Conceded 2 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Divisió
Pas de la Casa vs Esperanca
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Pas de la Casa
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Primera Divisió
Pas de la Casa vs Esperanca
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Pas de la Casa
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Andorra Cup
Esperanca vs Pas de la Casa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pas de la Casa 20 / 100
Esperanca 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pas de la Casa Esperanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Pas de la Casa found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pas de la Casa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pas de la Casa VS Esperanca
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pas de la Casa

(Home)
02 Nov
Pas de la Casa
0 : 3
UE Santa Coloma
26 Oct
Carroi
0 : 0
Pas de la Casa
18 May
Pas de la Casa
1 : 5
Atletic Escaldes
11 May
La Massana
0 : 5
Pas de la Casa
03 May
Pas de la Casa
0 : 2
Penya

Esperanca

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)