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PAS Mates vs Chebel Citizens

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
PAS Mates Logo

PAS Mates

1 - 5
FT
Chebel Citizens Logo

Chebel Citizens

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chebel Citizens in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chebel Citizens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
PAS Mates
35%
Draws
55%
Chebel Citizens
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Chebel Citizens have won more games recently than PAS Mates.
  • Model gives Chebel Citizens a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAS Mates Chebel Citizens
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs PAS Mates
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Chebel Citizens
1:5
May 30, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Chebel Citizens
2:4
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs PAS Mates
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAS Mates 10 / 100
Chebel Citizens 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAS Mates Chebel Citizens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chebel Citizens let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

PAS Mates scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: PAS Mates remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PAS Mates VS Chebel Citizens
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PAS Mates

(Home)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

Chebel Citizens

(Away)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)