Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAS Mates vs Port Louis

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between PAS Mates and Port Louis finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Louis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
PAS Mates
35%
Draws
52%
Port Louis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Port Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Port Louis come out ahead of PAS Mates on wins alone.
  • Port Louis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Port Louis here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%
Port Louis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAS Mates Port Louis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Port Louis vs PAS Mates
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Port Louis
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Port Louis
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 Super League
Port Louis vs PAS Mates
2:0
Apr 29, 2012 Super League
PAS Mates vs Port Louis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAS Mates 10 / 100
Port Louis 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAS Mates Port Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Louis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Louis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: PAS Mates scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

PAS Mates went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAS Mates VS Port Louis
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PAS Mates

(Home)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
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Port Louis

(Away)
12 Sept
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 1
Port Louis
04 Sept
Port Louis
1 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
28 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Port Louis
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)