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Pasaia vs CD Ariznabarra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Pasaia Logo

Pasaia

0 - 0
FT
CD Ariznabarra Logo

CD Ariznabarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pasaia
20%
Draws
23%
CD Ariznabarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pasaia lately — more wins on the board than CD Ariznabarra.
  • Pasaia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasaia CD Ariznabarra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs CD Ariznabarra
0:0
Oct 24, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Pasaia
1:1
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs CD Ariznabarra
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Pasaia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaia 67 / 100
CD Ariznabarra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasaia CD Ariznabarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pasaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ariznabarra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Pasaia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: CD Ariznabarra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pasaia found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Pasaia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasaia

(Home)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 7

CD Ariznabarra

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)