Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pasaia vs Eibar C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Alejo B.
59' Event
Ramos O.
64' Event
Mendiburu I.

AI Match Summary

Eibar C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pasaia
20%
Draws
57%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eibar C lately — more wins on the board than Pasaia.
  • Win probability leans Eibar C's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 15%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasaia Eibar C
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Pasaia
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Eibar C
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Eibar C
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Pasaia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pasaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendiburu I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Alejo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaia 10 / 100
Eibar C 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasaia Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Pasaia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Pasaia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pasaia VS Eibar C
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasaia

(Home)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
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Eibar C

(Away)
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)