Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sodupe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pasaia have won more games recently than Sodupe.
- Win probability leans Sodupe's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 18%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pasaia | Sodupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.71 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Sodupe
1:1
Jan 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Pasaia
0:1
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Sodupe
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Pasaia
0:2
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Pasaia
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pasaia 28 / 100
Sodupe 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pasaia Sodupe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sodupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sodupe conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Pasaia scored in 59% of their last 37 games.
Recent resilience: Pasaia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pasaia VS Sodupe
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pasaia
(Home) 19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2 SD Erandio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1 Pasaia
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0 Pasaia
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19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2 SD Erandio
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1 Anorga
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
02 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 0 Santurtzi
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Sodupe
(Away) 26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3 Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0 Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1 Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2 Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2 Sodupe
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0 Sodupe
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2 Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2 Sodupe
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2 Sodupe
22 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
5 : 0 Sodupe
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
