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Pasaia vs Uritarra

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Pasaia Logo

Pasaia

0 - 2
FT
Uritarra Logo

Uritarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Pasaia and Uritarra finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uritarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Pasaia
15%
Draws
40%
Uritarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uritarra come out ahead of Pasaia on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pasaia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 20%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasaia Uritarra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Uritarra
0:2
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Pasaia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaia 36 / 100
Uritarra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasaia Uritarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uritarra has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pasaia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pasaia scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Pasaia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasaia

(Home)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 7

Uritarra

(Away)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)