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Pasaquina vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Reyes K.
86' Event
Acosta W.

AI Match Summary

Aguila in this Primera Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Pasaquina
15%
Draws
68%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than Pasaquina.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Aguila taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pasaquina Clean Sheet 21%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasaquina Aguila
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 7 25
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Aguila
0:2
Mar 3, 2019 Primera Division
Aguila vs Pasaquina
4:1
Nov 22, 2018 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Aguila
2:2
Sep 15, 2018 Primera Division
Aguila vs Pasaquina
3:1
Apr 28, 2018 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Aguila
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pasaquina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaquina 12 / 100
Aguila 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasaquina Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Pasaquina's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aguila has conceded goals in 67% of their last 48 outings.

Solid form: Pasaquina remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguila
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasaquina

(Home)
12 May
Alianza FC
2 : 0
Pasaquina
10 May
Pasaquina
0 : 3
Alianza FC
05 May
Audaz
2 : 3
Pasaquina
27 Apr
Pasaquina
0 : 2
Aguila
24 Apr
FAS
1 : 0
Pasaquina
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 15 4 3 49:16 49
2 Aguila 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Metapan 22 9 7 6 30:23 34
4 Municipal Limeno 22 10 8 4 23:17 32
5 Chalatenango 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
6 Santa Tecla 22 7 9 6 29:30 30
7 FAS 22 7 8 7 21:19 29
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 23:31 20
9 Audaz 22 5 4 13 20:31 19
10 Luis Angel Firpo 22 4 7 11 16:31 19
11 CD Sonsonate 22 4 6 12 26:39 18
12 Jocoro 22 4 8 10 16:26 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)