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Pasion Celeste vs Fancesa

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Pasion Celeste and Fancesa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pasion Celeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pasion Celeste
39%
Draws
30%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Pasion Celeste Clean Sheet 10%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasion Celeste Fancesa
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Pasion Celeste
4:2
Oct 8, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Fancesa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasion Celeste 30 / 100
Fancesa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasion Celeste Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Pasion Celeste's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Fancesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Pasion Celeste stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pasion Celeste VS Fancesa
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasion Celeste

(Home)
11 Nov
Torre Fuerte
5 : 1
Pasion Celeste
06 Nov
Pasion Celeste
1 : 0
Torre Fuerte
28 Oct
Fancesa
4 : 2
Pasion Celeste
21 Oct
Pasion Celeste
2 : 1
Torre Fuerte
08 Oct
Pasion Celeste
3 : 2
Fancesa
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Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi43017:19
2Nacional Sucre42024:76
3Hiska Nacional41033:63
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Mizque42118:67
2Universitario de Pando42115:77
3Stormers SL41036:63
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose43017:39
2Real Oruro42114:37
3Municipalidad de Yacuiba40132:71
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torre Fuerte42115:47
2Pasion Celeste42027:86
3Fancesa41128:84
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo430120:29
2Atletico Bermejo43019:59
3San Lorenzo del Beni40043:250
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija431010:410
2Fatic42026:36
3Sur-Car40135:141
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
124 de Septiembre42118:57
2Universitario Beni42116:67
3Real Mapajo40223:62
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz43109:210
2Deportivo Aleman41219:85
3Academia del Balompie40134:121
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)