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Pasion Celeste vs Fancesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Pasion Celeste and Fancesa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pasion Celeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pasion Celeste
15%
Draws
26%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pasion Celeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Pasion Celeste Clean Sheet 10%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasion Celeste Fancesa
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Pasion Celeste
4:2
Oct 8, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Fancesa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasion Celeste 30 / 100
Fancesa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasion Celeste Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fancesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Pasion Celeste's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Fancesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Pasion Celeste stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pasion Celeste VS Fancesa
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasion Celeste

(Home)
11 Nov
Torre Fuerte
5 : 1
Pasion Celeste
06 Nov
Pasion Celeste
1 : 0
Torre Fuerte
28 Oct
Fancesa
4 : 2
Pasion Celeste
21 Oct
Pasion Celeste
2 : 1
Torre Fuerte
08 Oct
Pasion Celeste
3 : 2
Fancesa
Page 1 of 3

Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
2 Nacional Sucre 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
3 Hiska Nacional 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Mizque 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Universitario de Pando 4 2 1 1 5:7 7
3 Stormers SL 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Real Oruro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
2 Pasion Celeste 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
3 Fancesa 4 1 1 2 8:8 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
2 Atletico Bermejo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 San Lorenzo del Beni 4 0 0 4 3:25 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Fatic 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
3 Sur-Car 4 0 1 3 5:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 24 de Septiembre 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Universitario Beni 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Real Mapajo 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Deportivo Aleman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
3 Academia del Balompie 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)