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Pasion Celeste vs Torre Fuerte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Pasion Celeste Logo

Pasion Celeste

1 - 0
FT
Torre Fuerte Logo

Torre Fuerte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Pasion Celeste advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pasion Celeste
15%
Draws
42%
Torre Fuerte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pasion Celeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Pasion Celeste haven't matched Torre Fuerte's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Torre Fuerte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pasion Celeste, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pasion Celeste Clean Sheet 10%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasion Celeste Torre Fuerte
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Pasion Celeste
5:1
Nov 6, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Torre Fuerte
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Torre Fuerte
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Pasion Celeste
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasion Celeste 34 / 100
Torre Fuerte 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasion Celeste Torre Fuerte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torre Fuerte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pasion Celeste scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Torre Fuerte has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Pasion Celeste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pasion Celeste VS Torre Fuerte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.17 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasion Celeste

(Home)
11 Nov
Torre Fuerte
5 : 1
Pasion Celeste
06 Nov
Pasion Celeste
1 : 0
Torre Fuerte
28 Oct
Fancesa
4 : 2
Pasion Celeste
21 Oct
Pasion Celeste
2 : 1
Torre Fuerte
08 Oct
Pasion Celeste
3 : 2
Fancesa
Page 1 of 3

Torre Fuerte

(Away)
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Torre Fuerte
11 Oct
Torre Fuerte
1 : 3
1 de Mayo
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Torre Fuerte
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
14 Sept
Torre Fuerte
4 : 2
Nueva Cliza
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic 2
Real Mizque 3
Universitario de Pando 1
GV San Jose 5
Universitario Beni 3
24 de Septiembre 4
Pasion Celeste 2
Torre Fuerte 5
Real Oruro 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Nacional Sucre 1
Municipal de Tarija 5
Atletico Bermejo 2
Real Potosi 3
Deportivo Aleman 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque 2
GV San Jose 8
24 de Septiembre 2
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3
Municipal de Tarija 2
Real Potosi 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose 9
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4
Final
GV San Jose 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1