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Pasion Celeste vs Torre Fuerte

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Pasion Celeste and Torre Fuerte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pasion Celeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pasion Celeste
44%
Draws
20%
Torre Fuerte
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pasion Celeste haven't matched Torre Fuerte's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pasion Celeste Clean Sheet 10%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasion Celeste Torre Fuerte
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.17 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Pasion Celeste
5:1
Nov 6, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Torre Fuerte
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Torre Fuerte
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Pasion Celeste
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasion Celeste 34 / 100
Torre Fuerte 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasion Celeste Torre Fuerte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pasion Celeste scored in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Defensive concern: Torre Fuerte conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Pasion Celeste remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pasion Celeste VS Torre Fuerte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.17 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic2
Real Mizque3
Universitario de Pando1
GV San Jose5
Universitario Beni3
24 de Septiembre4
Pasion Celeste2
Torre Fuerte5
Real Oruro2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Nacional Sucre1
Municipal de Tarija5
Atletico Bermejo2
Real Potosi3
Deportivo Aleman0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque2
GV San Jose8
24 de Septiembre2
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Municipal de Tarija2
Real Potosi2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose9
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Final
GV San Jose2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1