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Passos vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Passos and Itabirito finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Passos
20%
Draws
44%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabirito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Itabirito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Passos's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Passos Clean Sheet 20%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Passos Itabirito
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0.67 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Mineiro 3
Passos vs Itabirito
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Passos 49 / 100
Itabirito 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Passos Itabirito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Passos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Itabirito's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Passos found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (12 games).

Scoring Trends

Passos VS Itabirito
0.6 Goals Scored 0.5
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.63
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Passos

(Home)
11 Oct
Passos
0 : 0
Boa
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Paracatu
2 : 1
Passos
07 Sept
Passos
2 : 1
Juventus Minasnovense
30 Aug
Essube
0 : 0
Passos
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Itabirito

(Away)
14 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 7
Atletico-MG
06 Feb
Betim FC
0 : 2
Itabirito
01 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 3
Tombense
24 Jan
URT
2 : 1
Itabirito
21 Jan
Uberlandia
0 : 1
Itabirito
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)