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Patacona vs Acero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Soler S.
43'
Loza A.
48' Event
Moron A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 game between Patacona and Acero finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patacona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Patacona
35%
Draws
39%
Acero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Acero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Acero are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Patacona Clean Sheet 22%
Acero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patacona Acero
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.09 1
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Acero
3:2
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Patacona
5:4
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Patacona
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Acero
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patacona Compare

Top Goalscorer Soler S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Acero Compare

Top Goalscorer Moron A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mir B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patacona 29 / 100
Acero 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patacona Acero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Patacona scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Acero let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Patacona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patacona VS Acero
0.63 Goals Scored 0.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patacona

(Home)
11 May
Patacona
0 : 2
Roda
04 May
Villarreal C
1 : 1
Patacona
26 Apr
Patacona
0 : 2
Atzeneta
17 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
3 : 2
Patacona
13 Apr
Patacona
0 : 0
Castellonense
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Acero

(Away)
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
05 Sept
Acero
0 : 1
Crevillente
21 Aug
Vall de Uxo
1 : 1
Acero
12 May
Acero
2 : 3
Silla CF
05 May
Ontinyent 1931 CF
2 : 2
Acero
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 34 26 5 3 77:20 83
2 Espanol de San Vicente 34 18 10 6 46:23 64
3 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 18 6 10 39:29 60
4 Atzeneta 34 16 12 6 44:27 60
5 Utiel 34 15 8 11 43:39 53
6 Levante B 34 13 11 10 44:35 50
7 Gandia 34 13 9 12 45:41 48
8 Villarreal C 34 12 10 12 53:44 46
9 Roda 34 12 8 14 35:32 44
10 Torrellano 34 11 9 14 34:40 42
11 Castellonense 34 10 11 13 38:45 41
12 Soneja 34 9 13 12 38:46 40
13 Patacona 34 11 7 16 40:52 40
14 Castellon B 34 12 4 18 44:52 40
15 Rayo Ibense 34 11 6 17 28:43 39
16 Acero 34 9 8 17 39:56 35
17 Burriana 34 8 9 17 26:46 33
18 Silla CF 34 7 4 23 27:70 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2023/2024 (Play Offs)