Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021

Crevillente

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paterna play Crevillente in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paterna averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Crevillente averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Paterna won 3, Crevillente won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Paterna and 1.24 for Crevillente. This points to a Paterna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Paterna

28%

Draws

32%

Crevillente

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Paterna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Paterna picked up more points recently compared to Crevillente.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Paterna Clean Sheet 19%

Crevillente Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paterna	Crevillente
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	7	9
Draws	12	7
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	0.93	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Paterna vs Crevillente

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Crevillente vs Paterna

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Paterna vs Crevillente

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Dec 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Crevillente vs Paterna

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Crevillente vs Paterna

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterna 40 / 100

Crevillente 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paterna Crevillente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paterna or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paterna attacking → ← attacking Crevillente

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paterna scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Crevillente let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Paterna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Crevillente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63