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Paterna vs Muro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Paterna
15%
Draws
42%
Muro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paterna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Muro haven't matched Paterna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paterna a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Paterna Clean Sheet 20%
Muro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paterna Muro
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 14 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Muro
2:2
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Paterna
0:1
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Muro
0:2
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Paterna
2:0
Jan 24, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Muro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterna 36 / 100
Muro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paterna Muro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paterna found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Muro conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Paterna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paterna VS Muro
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Paterna

(Home)
06 Jun
Villajoyosa
1 : 5
Paterna
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
16 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Crevillente
08 May
Hercules B
1 : 0
Paterna
01 May
Paterna
0 : 1
Villajoyosa
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Muro

(Away)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpic Xativa 40 25 12 3 68:19 87
2 Alzira 40 23 11 6 61:25 80
3 Ontinyent 40 24 4 12 56:29 76
4 Castellon 40 22 10 8 65:31 76
5 Orihuela 40 19 14 7 62:31 71
6 Novelda CF 40 20 10 10 46:27 70
7 Villarreal C 40 19 12 9 67:47 69
8 Ilicitano 40 20 8 12 58:37 68
9 Torre Levante 40 18 7 15 58:50 61
10 Crevillente 40 15 13 12 39:37 58
11 Silla CF 40 14 9 17 51:57 51
12 Rayo Ibense 40 13 10 17 49:56 49
13 CD Almazora 40 11 15 14 43:48 48
14 Catarroja CF 40 11 13 16 33:44 46
15 Borriol 40 12 9 19 41:55 45
16 Paterna 40 9 16 15 35:60 43
17 CD Bunol 40 11 9 20 44:62 42
18 Muro 40 10 9 21 39:50 39
19 Torrevieja 40 10 5 25 38:71 35
20 Almoradi 40 6 9 25 32:77 27
21 CD Segorbe 40 2 7 31 22:94 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)