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Patha Chakra vs Mohun Bagan U23

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tamang P.
14' Event
Motla D.
24' Event
Rai K.

AI Match Summary

The Calcutta Premier Division 2025 game between Patha Chakra and Mohun Bagan U23 finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohun Bagan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Patha Chakra
15%
Draws
59%
Mohun Bagan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mohun Bagan U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mohun Bagan U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Patha Chakra Clean Sheet 10%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patha Chakra Mohun Bagan U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
4:0
Aug 30, 2025 Calcutta Premier Division
Patha Chakra vs Mohun Bagan U23
2:5
Jul 5, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
3:1
Aug 4, 2018 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
1:0
Aug 21, 2017 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patha Chakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Motla D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarafdar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tamang P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patha Chakra 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan U23 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patha Chakra Mohun Bagan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Patha Chakra scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Mohun Bagan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Patha Chakra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patha Chakra VS Mohun Bagan U23
1 Goals Scored 2.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Patha Chakra

(Home)
22 Aug
Kidderpore SC
0 : 0
Patha Chakra
18 Aug
Patha Chakra
2 : 6
Railway FC
06 Aug
Kalighat Milan Sangha
6 : 1
Patha Chakra
28 Jul
Patha Chakra
1 : 5
East Bengal
25 Jul
George Telegrapher
0 : 2
Patha Chakra
Page 1 of 6

Mohun Bagan U23

(Away)
13 Aug
Bidhannagar Municipal SA
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Aug
Mohun Bagan U23
1 : 2
Bhawanipore
01 Aug
Calcutta Customs
1 : 0
Mohun Bagan U23
28 Jul
United Kolkata
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
19 Jul
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 0
Kalighat Milan Sangha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 11 7 2 2 30:10 23
2 Suruchi Sangha 11 6 4 1 24:8 22
3 Calcutta Customs 11 6 4 1 18:10 22
4 Police AC 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
5 Mohun Bagan U23 11 5 2 4 21:14 17
6 Patha Chakra 11 5 1 5 12:16 16
7 BSS Sporting 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
8 Kalighat SL 11 4 1 6 7:14 13
9 George Telegrapher 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
10 Measures Club 11 3 1 7 9:23 10
11 Kalighat Milan Sangha 11 2 3 6 9:16 9
12 Railway FC 11 1 3 7 4:20 6
13 Army Red 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United SC 12 8 3 1 18:6 27
2 Diamond Harbour 12 7 4 1 16:5 25
3 United Kolkata 12 7 3 2 21:7 24
4 Bhawanipore 12 6 4 2 21:7 22
5 Peerless 12 5 6 1 14:6 21
6 Rainbow SC 12 5 5 2 22:9 20
7 Sribhumi FC 12 4 6 2 19:15 18
8 Kidderpore SC 12 5 1 6 18:26 16
9 Wari 12 4 1 7 10:26 13
10 Aryan 12 4 0 8 9:18 12
11 Mohammedan 12 3 2 7 14:19 11
12 Calcutta Police 12 1 1 10 8:28 4
13 Southern Samity 12 0 2 10 10:28 2
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Relegation Group)