Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Chonburi
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
15'
15'
Kaman K.
19'
19'
Santana R.
Assist: Songkrasin C.
24'
24'
Bolingi J.
AI Match Summary
Chonburi in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chonburi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pathum United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pathum United lately — more wins on the board than Chonburi.
- Win probability leans Pathum United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Chonburi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chonburi
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Pathum United
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chonburi
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 League Cup
Chonburi vs Pathum United
1:4
Dec 20, 2023 Thai FA Cup
Chonburi vs Pathum United
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Santana R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Panya E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chonburi Compare
Top Goalscorer Tabinas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Promsrikaew C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 85 / 100
Chonburi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Chonburi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Chonburi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Pathum United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Chonburi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 7
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Mar
Pathum United
2 : 2 Ratchaburi
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 4
Chonburi
(Away) 10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2 Chonburi
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0 Chonburi
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2 Chonburi
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0 Chonburi
14 Mar
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Chonburi
08 Mar
Pathum United
2 : 3 Chonburi
21 Feb
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 3 Chonburi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)