Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Mahasarakham
Thailand
League Cup True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
10'
10'
Palapon J.
45'
45'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
46'
46'
Sub
Palapon J. In: Chatanan A.
Out: Palapon J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pathum United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Mahasarakham haven't matched Pathum United's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pathum United a 41% chance of winning this.
- Pathum United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pathum United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 68%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Mahasarakham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 18, 2026 League Cup
Pathum United vs Mahasarakham
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Mahasarakham vs Pathum United
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer bin Fandi Ahmad I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Takagi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76
Mahasarakham Compare
Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 77 / 100
Mahasarakham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Mahasarakham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pathum United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Mahasarakham has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Pathum United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Mahasarakham
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
Mahasarakham
(Away) 16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
22 Mar
Trat FC
2 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
15 Mar
Pattani
2 : 1 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Pattani 2
Ratchaburi 0
Nakhon Pathom 0
Uthai Thani 2
Thonburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 4
Samut Sakhon City 0
Prachuap 2
Bangkok FC 0
Muang Thong Utd 4
Uttaradit FC 0
Pathum United 4
Mahasarakham 2
Rayong FC 1
Lopburi City 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2
Satun FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1
Chonburi 5
Thap Luang United 1
Chiangrai Utd 0
Customs Utd 2
Sukhothai 3
Chainat Hornbill 0
Port MTI FC 5
Bankhai United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 1
Kanchanaburi 0
Pattaya United 0
Bangkok Utd 3
1/8-finals
Pattani 2
Uthai Thani 1
Buriram United F.C. 3
Prachuap 2
Muang Thong Utd 0
Pathum United 2
Mahasarakham 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 0
Chonburi 3
Thap Luang United 1
Sukhothai 0
Port MTI FC 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bangkok Utd 2
Quarter-finals
Pattani 0
Buriram United F.C. 3
Pathum United 3
Mahasarakham 0
Chonburi 1
Thap Luang United 0
Port MTI FC 7
Khonkaen United 0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C. 0
Pathum United 1
Chonburi 3
Port MTI FC 4
Final
Pathum United 0
Port MTI FC 1
