Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Jantawong P. In: Songkrasin C.
Out: Jantawong P.
46'
46'
Sub
Lalic N. In: Sienkrthok P.
Out: Lalic N.
46'
46'
Hanrattana P.
AI Match Summary
Pathum United in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pathum United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pathum United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pathum United have won more games recently than Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Pathum United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pathum United have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Pathum United
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Pathum United
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Pathum United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavsson P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 67 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Nakhon Ratchasima FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nakhon Ratchasima FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Pathum United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Pathum United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Mar
Pathum United
2 : 2 Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 4
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
(Away) 10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
21 Mar
Ayutthaya United
0 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
21 Feb
Port MTI FC
2 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
