Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Sukhothai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
6'
6'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
Assist: Raniel
23'
23'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
40'
40'
Sub
Thiamrat L. In: Mhuaddarak T.
Out: Thiamrat L.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Pathum United and Sukhothai finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pathum United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Pathum United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Pathum United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Sukhothai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Pathum United
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
4:4
Aug 10, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Pathum United
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
7:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer bin Fandi Ahmad I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sukhothai Compare
Top Goalscorer Otton C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 42 / 100
Sukhothai 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Sukhothai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sukhothai let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Pathum United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Sukhothai
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
Sukhothai
(Away) 20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1 Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0 Sukhothai
21 Mar
Chonburi
2 : 0 Sukhothai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
