Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
6'
6'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
Assist: Santana R.
23'
23'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
40'
40'
Sub
Thiamrat L. In: Mhuaddarak T.
Out: Thiamrat L.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Pathum United and Sukhothai finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pathum United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pathum United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pathum United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Pathum United are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 68%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Sukhothai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.29 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Pathum United
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
4:4
Aug 10, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Pathum United
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Sukhothai
7:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer bin Fandi Ahmad I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sukhothai Compare
Top Goalscorer Otton C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 77 / 100
Sukhothai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Sukhothai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Sukhothai let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Sukhothai has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Sukhothai
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
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04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
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Sukhothai
(Away) 10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2 Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1 Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0 Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1 Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0 Sukhothai
21 Mar
Chonburi
2 : 0 Sukhothai
15 Mar
Kanchanaburi
1 : 0 Sukhothai
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
