Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Uthai Thani
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
6'
6'
Takagi Y.
13'
13'
Sandokhadze N.
Assist: Takagi Y.
24'
24'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Pathum United and Uthai Thani finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pathum United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uthai Thani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pathum United come out ahead of Uthai Thani on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Pathum United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Uthai Thani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Uthai Thani
4:0
Sep 12, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Pathum United
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Pathum United
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Uthai Thani
2:1
Feb 15, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Uthai Thani
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandokhadze N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Takagi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Uthai Thani Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 32 / 100
Uthai Thani 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Uthai Thani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Uthai Thani has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Pathum United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Uthai Thani
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
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Uthai Thani
(Away) 12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2 Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4 Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0 Uthai Thani
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06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4 Uthai Thani
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0 Uthai Thani
05 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0 Uthai Thani
14 Mar
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
