Sport Picks

Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia

Patriotas

1 - 0

Leones

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Carabali A.

29'

Alvarez K.

46'

Sub

Castano J. In: Garcia D.

Out: Castano J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Patriotas and Leones finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Patriotas

39%

Draws

30%

Leones

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Patriotas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Leones.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera B provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Patriotas Clean Sheet 20%

Leones Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Patriotas	Leones
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	5
Draws	8	7
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Primera B

Patriotas vs Leones

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Sep 20, 2025 Primera B

Leones vs Patriotas

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Apr 11, 2025 Primera B

Patriotas vs Leones

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Aug 19, 2023 Primera B

Patriotas vs Leones

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Mar 6, 2023 Primera B

Leones vs Patriotas

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 32 / 100

Leones 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Patriotas Leones

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Leones let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Patriotas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Leones lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Leones

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter Palmira	15	12	2	1	29:13	38
2	Union Magdalena	15	10	2	3	27:15	32
3	Quindio	15	9	4	2	20:10	31
4	Envigado	15	9	2	4	24:14	29
5	Cartagena	15	7	5	3	23:15	26
6	Bogota	15	6	5	4	16:14	23
7	Barranquilla	15	6	2	7	21:20	20
8	Tigres Futbol Club	15	5	5	5	15:14	20
9	Ind. Yumbo	15	4	7	4	13:14	19
10	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	13:17	17
11	Patriotas	15	4	5	6	13:17	17
12	Boca Juniors de Cali	15	2	7	6	15:20	13
13	Real Cundinamarca	15	2	7	6	14:19	13
14	Leones	15	2	4	9	8:24	10
15	Atletico F.C.	15	1	6	8	12:23	9
16	Real Santander	15	1	4	10	9:23	7