Sport Picks
Patriotas vs Millonarios
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
23'
23'
Campana J.
45'
45'
Hurtado J.
67'
67'
Alvarez K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millonarios
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Medium Confidence
- Millonarios carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Patriotas a 36% chance of winning this.
- Millonarios arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Millonarios, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 14%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Copa Colombia
Patriotas vs Millonarios
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 Primera A
Millonarios vs Patriotas
3:0
Feb 25, 2024 Primera A
Patriotas vs Millonarios
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Primera A
Millonarios vs Patriotas
0:0
May 1, 2022 Primera A
Patriotas vs Millonarios
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Campana J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Millonarios Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurtado J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Contreras R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 35 / 100
Millonarios 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Millonarios
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Patriotas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Millonarios let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Millonarios
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 31 Jul
Real Santander
2 : 2 Patriotas
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1 Patriotas
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3 Millonarios
11 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 1 Patriotas
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3 Millonarios
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0 Chico
13 Apr
Patriotas
1 : 0 Cartagena
01 Apr
Patriotas
1 : 0 Leones
Page 1 of 3
Millonarios
(Away) 05 Aug
Millonarios
2 : 0 Dep. Pasto
02 Aug
Junior
0 : 1 Millonarios
25 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1 Bucaramanga
18 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1 Colo Colo
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
Page 1 of 7
02 Aug
Junior
0 : 1 Millonarios
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
30 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 8 Millonarios
20 May
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Millonarios
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3 Millonarios
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 5 | Atletico F.C. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
