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Patriotas vs Paranavai-PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Arisson
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 game between Patriotas and Paranavai-PR finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Patriotas
30%
Draws
37%
Paranavai-PR
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paranavai-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patriotas come out ahead of Paranavai-PR on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Patriotas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 20%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Paranavai-PR
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Paranavai-PR
0:2
May 16, 2026 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Patriotas
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Paranavai-PR
1:0
May 17, 2025 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Patriotas
4:0
Jun 23, 2024 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Paranavai-PR
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 36 / 100
Paranavai-PR 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Paranavai-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paranavai-PR let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Patriotas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Paranavai-PR
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
24 May
Patriotas
0 : 2
Paranavai-PR
16 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Parana
2 : 1
Patriotas
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Paranavai-PR

(Away)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Athletico-PR B
0 : 3
Paranavai-PR
02 Sept
Londrina B
0 : 0
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)