Sport Picks

Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia

Patriotas

1 - 0

Real Cundinamarca

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Angulo Cuero M. F.

46'

Sub

Cuellar K. In: Barrios L.

Out: Cuellar K.

52'

Palomeque D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Patriotas and Real Cundinamarca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Patriotas

39%

Draws

30%

Real Cundinamarca

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Patriotas have managed 1 goals a game lately — Real Cundinamarca are scoring more at 1.25.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Patriotas Clean Sheet 19%

Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Patriotas	Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	8	9
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primera B

Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Nov 23, 2025 Primera B

Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Nov 2, 2025 Primera B

Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sep 8, 2025 Primera B

Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Jul 21, 2025 Primera B

Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Campana J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 32 / 100

Real Cundinamarca 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Patriotas Real Cundinamarca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Real Cundinamarca conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Real Cundinamarca

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter Palmira	15	12	2	1	29:13	38
2	Union Magdalena	15	10	2	3	27:15	32
3	Quindio	15	9	4	2	20:10	31
4	Envigado	15	9	2	4	24:14	29
5	Cartagena	15	7	5	3	23:15	26
6	Bogota	15	6	5	4	16:14	23
7	Barranquilla	15	6	2	7	21:20	20
8	Tigres Futbol Club	15	5	5	5	15:14	20
9	Ind. Yumbo	15	4	7	4	13:14	19
10	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	13:17	17
11	Patriotas	15	4	5	6	13:17	17
12	Boca Juniors de Cali	15	2	7	6	15:20	13
13	Real Cundinamarca	15	2	7	6	14:19	13
14	Leones	15	2	4	9	8:24	10
15	Atletico F.C.	15	1	6	8	12:23	9
16	Real Santander	15	1	4	10	9:23	7