Sport Picks
Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca
Colombia
Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
39'
39'
Angulo Cuero M. F.
46'
46'
Sub
Cuellar K. In: Barrios L.
Out: Cuellar K.
52'
52'
Palomeque D.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Patriotas and Real Cundinamarca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patriotas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Cundinamarca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Patriotas have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Real Cundinamarca are scoring more at 1.37.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 15%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Real Cundinamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
1:0
Sep 8, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Campana J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Real Cundinamarca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 31 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Real Cundinamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Real Cundinamarca conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Patriotas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Real Cundinamarca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Patriotas
2 : 0 Atletico F.C.
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 3
Real Cundinamarca
(Away) 21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1 Patriotas
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
20 Aug
Leones
1 : 1 Real Cundinamarca
27 Jul
Envigado
1 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
17 May
Dep. Pereira
1 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres Futbol Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Atletico F.C. | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
