Sport Picks
Patriotas W vs Fortaleza W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Aguila Women 2018 
AI Match Summary
Patriotas W in this Liga Aguila Women 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patriotas W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Patriotas W at 1.59 per game, Fortaleza W at 0.95.
- Win probability leans Patriotas W's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Patriotas W Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas W | Fortaleza W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 37 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 0.95 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2018 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Patriotas W
2:2
Mar 3, 2018 Liga Women
Patriotas W vs Fortaleza W
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Liga Women
Patriotas W vs Fortaleza W
1:2
Feb 26, 2017 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Patriotas W
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas W 49 / 100
Fortaleza W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas W Fortaleza W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Patriotas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Attacking prowess: Patriotas W scored in 73% of their last 22 outings.
Fortaleza W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.
Patriotas W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Fortaleza W
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas W
(Home) 14 May
America de Cali W
5 : 0 Patriotas W
11 May
Patriotas W
2 : 0 America de Cali W
06 May
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 3 Patriotas W
01 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 2 Patriotas W
25 Apr
Patriotas W
1 : 0 Bogota W
Page 1 of 5
11 May
Patriotas W
2 : 0 America de Cali W
25 Apr
Patriotas W
1 : 0 Bogota W
14 Mar
Patriotas W
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
03 Mar
Patriotas W
2 : 1 Fortaleza W
17 Feb
Patriotas W
0 : 1 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 3
Fortaleza W
(Away) 20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 8
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
23 Apr
Inter Palmira W
3 : 1 Fortaleza W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huila W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 3 | Alianza W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Cucuta W | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Real San Andres W | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 37:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Patriotas W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fortaleza W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotá W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Bogota W | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:29 | 6 |
| 6 | Dep. Pasto W | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Palmira W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pereira W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Quindio W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:20 | 12 |
| 5 | Orsomarso W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. W | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7:34 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Envigado W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Junior W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Cartagena W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:29 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)
