Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patrocinense vs Caldense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Patrocinense Logo

Patrocinense

1 - 1
FT
Caldense Logo

Caldense

Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Matheus Jesus
90' Event
Carlota J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Patrocinense and Caldense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patrocinense come out ahead of Caldense on wins alone.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 68%
Caldense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Caldense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 13
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.67 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Patrocinense
1:2
Jun 14, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Caldense
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Caldense
0:2
May 4, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Patrocinense
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs Caldense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Jesus
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Caldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlota J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 41 / 100
Caldense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patrocinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldense lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Caldense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Patrocinense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS Caldense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)