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Patrocinense vs Formiga EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patrocinense in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
0%
Formiga EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patrocinense lately — more wins on the board than Formiga EC.
  • Patrocinense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Patrocinense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Formiga EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Formiga EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Formiga EC
4:3
Feb 17, 2016 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Patrocinense
3:0
Apr 16, 2011 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Formiga EC
2:0
Apr 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Patrocinense
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 85 / 100
Formiga EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Formiga EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patrocinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Formiga EC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Formiga EC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patrocinense scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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Formiga EC

(Away)
01 Apr
Formiga EC
0 : 3
Nacional de Muriae
26 Mar
Tupynambas
3 : 0
Formiga EC
24 Mar
Formiga EC
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
18 Mar
Social
3 : 0
Formiga EC
16 Mar
Formiga EC
0 : 3
Serranense
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