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Patrocinense vs Formiga EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

Patrocinense in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Patrocinense
6%
Draws
4%
Formiga EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patrocinense lately — more wins on the board than Formiga EC.
  • Patrocinense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Patrocinense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Formiga EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Formiga EC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Formiga EC
4:3
Feb 17, 2016 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Patrocinense
3:0
Apr 16, 2011 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Formiga EC
2:0
Apr 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Patrocinense
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 85 / 100
Formiga EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Formiga EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Formiga EC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Formiga EC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patrocinense scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%